Sunday, June 15, 2014

Your 2014 Giants: 14th Rotational PQS

It has been a rough turn through the rotation, but the starters were still dealing and performing well on a PQS basis.

ogc thoughts

As we know, the team got beat up this turn of the rotation, losing 4 of 5.  As we also know, that was mostly the bullpen's fault, not the starters, don't need PQS to know that.  Still, wanted to report on this turn.

They had another good turn, with 3 DOM starts and zero DIS starts.  Bumgarner, Hudson, and Lincecum contributed the DOM this turn.   Bumgarner is up to 61% DOM and 21% DIS.  Hudson is up to 67% DOM and 0% DIS.  LIncecum is up to 57% DOM and 29% DIS.

Cain and Vogie had MID starts.  Cain is down to 44% DOM and 11% DIS, Vogie to 50% DOM and 14% DIS.

As recounted in prior posts, they have had a great stretch of pitching over the past 7 turns of the rotation now, covering 35 games, with just 1 DIS start in all those games.  They are now up to 56% DOM and 16% DIS, both very good.

To see how pitching well has helped their record, I redid all the stats to cover W/L by PQS type.  We know of course that pitching well means you have a better chance of winning, but what exactly are the results.  For DOM starts, they have won 28 of 38, .737 winning percentage.  For MID starts, they are at .526, but had been in the mid-to-high .500 until this week.  For DIS starts, they are .364 winning percentage.  These are very similar to the results we have seen in the playoffs when I calculated those results.

But as we have seen this week, it is not the be all and end all, at least not like many years ago when starters went 7-8 innings regularly.  You need a strong bullpen too, strong closer too.   The offense gave them three leads in the Rockies series but the bullpen failed the rest of the team by blowing all three games.

Luckily, most of the year, the bullpen has been aces, and have won many more games than they have lost this week.  They have held the fort many a times when the starter faltered early and allowed the offense the time to catch up and win many games in the late innings.  But obviously, the bullpen will need to show that this was just a blip and not a continuing trend, a random bit of bad luck that all happened in one series against one particularly bad opponent, and at home of all places,   I believe that they will come out of this fine, the bullpen has performed for us for years now, no reason to think anything has really changed all of a sudden.

The team just needs  to lick their wounds and get settled on the road, clear their minds and move on.

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